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Red62
706418.7
180611.2
555039.0
Blue87
591820.2
182541.9
962619.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69890204060801001201401606287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
49Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
62Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#17
39.00.4
36.135.8
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
blue by 2.8
1825
#16
41.90.5
41.141.5
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Second
7064
#11
18.70.4
18.818.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 1.5
5918
#27
20.20.6
19.620.2
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
Third
1806
#36
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 8.4
9626
#25
19.60.6
19.019.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned