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Red114
526840.0
942833.4
512632.4
Blue168
580944.9
941047.2
425635.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091276080100140160180200114168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points71
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
18Processor points18
8Net points16
26Algae points34
87Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#13
5L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
114Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#24
40.00.7
38.839.6
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
blue by 7.2
9410
#14
47.23.5
40.944.4
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
9428
#19
33.40.7
32.232.9
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
blue by 11.5
44.93.5
40.944.5
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
Third
5126
#18
32.40.7
31.932.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
blue by 3.1
35.53.5
33.637.1
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned