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Red196
316023.7
198767.5
580160.1
Blue113
235740.6
199730.3
512632.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16010850200250196113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+63Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +45
23Coral scored#13
83Coral points48
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
24Processor points18
28Net points24
52Algae points42
135Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#5
10L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
196Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.51.2
63.865.1
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 26.8
2357
#10
40.60.2
40.941.1
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
Second
60.11.2
56.557.7
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 27.8
5126
#18
32.40.2
32.632.8
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
Third
3160
#21
23.71.2
20.121.3
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 6.6
1997
#23
30.30.2
30.530.7
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7