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Red88
93529.9
942833.4
316023.7
Blue137
198767.5
526840.0
199730.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210905015020088137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+47
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
72Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points2
88Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9428
#19
33.41.8
25.227.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
blue by 34.1
67.52.5
43.245.7
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
Second
935
#33
29.91.6
29.531.1
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
blue by 10.1
5268
#24
40.02.5
31.333.8
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
Third
3160
#21
23.71.8
9.311.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 6.6
1997
#23
30.32.5
22.925.4
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned