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Red194
316023.7
198767.5
580160.1
Blue120
555039.0
445516.4
596837.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1698550100150200250194120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+60Teleop
+62Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
119Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#7
9L3#4
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +74
12Foul points0
194Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.8
65.165.9
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 28.4
5550
#17
39.00.9
36.036.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Second
60.10.8
57.758.6
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 22.8
37.40.8
34.635.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Third
3160
#21
23.70.8
21.322.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
red by 7.3
4455
#32
16.40.8
13.714.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4