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Red126
173055.5
176923.8
171049.2
Blue158
882540.3
93529.9
941047.2
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144117050100200250126158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#24
67Coral points87
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
97Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#9
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points0
126Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.3
56.656.3
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 8.4
9410
#14
47.21.0
45.546.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
49.20.3
50.249.9
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
red by 8.9
40.31.0
38.439.4
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Third
1769
#20
23.80.3
24.824.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
blue by 6.1
935
#33
29.91.0
28.029.0
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2