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Red129
555039.0
445516.4
596837.4
Blue124
580944.9
526840.0
942833.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8913050100150200129124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
83Total teleop85
Reef
11L4#9
3L3#6
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
129Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#17
39.01.0
36.937.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
blue by 5.8
44.90.1
44.744.9
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
Second
37.40.9
35.436.3
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
blue by 2.6
5268
#24
40.00.1
39.940.0
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
Third
4455
#32
16.40.9
14.515.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 17.0
9428
#19
33.40.1
33.233.4
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1