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Red152
452256.8
596821.5
175661.8
Blue117
580143.3
641914.8
392837.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559050100200152117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points18
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +36
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
110Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
152Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 18.6
43.30.6
42.743.3
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
56.80.0
56.856.8
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 19.7
3928
#25
37.10.6
36.537.1
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
5968
#16
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 6.6
6419
#27
14.80.6
14.214.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5