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Red138
452256.8
596821.5
175661.8
Blue94
580143.3
641914.8
392837.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155915020013894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
26Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +51
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
6Processor points12
24Net points8
30Algae points20
110Total teleop59
Reef
10L4#4
10L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points6
138Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.1
61.961.8
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 18.6
43.30.1
42.842.7
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
56.80.1
56.856.8
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 19.7
3928
#25
37.10.1
36.636.5
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
5968
#16
21.50.1
21.521.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 6.6
6419
#27
14.80.1
14.414.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5