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Red113
464643.6
171041.8
193926.6
Blue123
580143.3
641914.8
392837.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11990406080100140160180113123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+18
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points25
23Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
78Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
113Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
red by 0.3
43.30.8
42.042.8
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
41.80.0
41.841.8
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
red by 4.8
3928
#25
37.10.8
35.836.6
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
1939
#24
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 11.8
6419
#27
14.80.8
13.614.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5