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Red109
512626.7
235733.3
299649.4
Blue144
580143.3
641914.8
392837.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11990406080100140160180109144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+21
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +32
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
63Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points16
109Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.1
49.549.4
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
red by 6.2
43.31.0
41.142.0
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
2357
#14
33.30.1
33.333.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
blue by 3.8
3928
#25
37.11.0
34.935.8
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
5126
#22
26.70.1
26.726.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
red by 11.9
6419
#27
14.81.0
12.613.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5