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Red52
271831.2
55766.3
235733.3
Blue62
299649.4
180612.4
199719.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7876556065708085905262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+18
Endgame+22
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
10Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +15
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
30Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
12Foul points0
52Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#14
33.33.2
27.324.1
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
blue by 16.1
49.40.6
31.631.0
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
2718
#10
31.23.2
25.021.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
red by 11.3
1997
#18
19.90.6
16.615.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Third
5576
#35
6.33.2
16.713.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
blue by 6.1
1806
#20
12.40.6
19.719.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed