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Red86
418714.1
452256.8
172317.6
Blue96
580931.2
178520.8
171041.8
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92980501502008696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
69Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points2
86Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.4
44.744.3
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 14.9
41.80.3
36.736.9
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
Second
1723
#30
17.60.4
18.918.5
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 13.7
5809
#11
31.20.3
25.525.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
Third
4187
#34
14.10.4
18.317.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 6.7
1785
#15
20.80.3
24.224.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed