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Red63
931610.6
512626.7
193926.6
Blue67
476632.7
176311.0
181026.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7777657075806367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
48Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
63Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#22
26.70.5
25.725.2
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 6.0
4766
#12
32.70.2
33.032.9
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Second
1939
#24
26.60.5
27.426.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 0.6
1810
#29
26.00.2
20.520.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
Third
9316
#32
10.60.5
14.614.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 0.4
1763
#21
11.00.2
15.114.9
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned