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Red81
514112.2
318423.6
421329.5
Blue89
580143.3
596821.5
882518.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681000204060801201401608189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
17Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
62Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
81Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
29.51.4
22.523.9
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
blue by 13.7
43.30.8
32.131.3
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
3184
#17
23.61.4
25.827.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
red by 2.1
5968
#16
21.50.8
25.224.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
Third
5141
#26
12.21.4
14.916.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 6.7
8825
#23
18.90.8
27.326.4
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned