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Red74
931610.6
580143.3
81129.8
Blue100
193926.6
173636.0
464643.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911205010015074100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
17Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points46
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
41Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points6
74Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.1
31.332.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
blue by 0.3
43.60.5
37.436.9
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Second
9316
#32
10.61.1
14.115.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 25.3
36.00.5
31.330.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Third
8112
#31
9.81.1
13.614.7
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End3.1
blue by 16.8
1939
#24
26.60.5
26.926.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed