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Red58
596821.5
476632.7
178520.8
Blue64
171041.8
176311.0
957011.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946502040801201405864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
32Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
58Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#12
32.72.6
32.930.2
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
blue by 9.1
41.80.3
36.937.2
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
Second
5968
#16
21.52.6
24.421.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 9.6
9570
#28
11.90.3
9.69.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
1785
#15
20.82.6
24.521.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 9.8
1763
#21
11.00.3
14.915.2
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed