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Red109
452256.8
181026.0
580931.2
Blue141
175661.8
299649.4
512626.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97121406080140160180109141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
89Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#11
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points4
109Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.82.1
44.346.4
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
blue by 5.1
61.83.2
51.654.8
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
Second
5809
#11
31.22.1
25.827.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
blue by 18.2
49.43.2
31.034.2
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Third
1810
#29
26.02.1
20.322.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
blue by 0.7
5126
#22
26.73.2
25.228.4
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned