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Red117
16745.5
199719.9
271831.2
Blue102
418714.1
235733.3
392837.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668202040100120140117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points7
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
78Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#4
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points2
117Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#5
45.55.5
24.429.9
Auto14.0
Teleop29.8
End1.6
red by 8.4
3928
#25
37.12.3
31.734.0
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Second
2718
#10
31.25.5
21.827.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
blue by 2.1
2357
#14
33.32.3
24.126.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Third
1997
#18
19.95.5
15.921.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
red by 5.8
4187
#34
14.12.3
17.920.2
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed