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Red24
55766.3
641914.8
180612.4
Blue51
318423.6
882518.9
172317.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498502040601001201402451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+27
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +35
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
3Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
14Foul points6
24Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#27
14.84.1
14.910.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
blue by 8.7
3184
#17
23.63.0
27.224.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
Second
1806
#20
12.44.1
19.014.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
blue by 6.5
8825
#23
18.93.0
26.423.4
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
5576
#35
6.34.1
13.49.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
blue by 11.3
1723
#30
17.63.0
18.515.5
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed