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Red31
81129.8
957011.9
596821.5
Blue117
421329.5
171041.8
580143.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43113020608010014016031117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
24Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points36
31Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5968
#16
21.53.0
21.818.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
blue by 21.8
43.32.2
32.430.2
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
9570
#28
11.93.0
9.96.8
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 30.0
41.82.2
37.235.0
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
Third
8112
#31
9.83.0
14.711.7
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End3.1
blue by 19.8
4213
#13
29.52.2
24.822.7
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned