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Red113
173636.0
299649.4
176311.0
Blue73
514112.2
512626.7
198742.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869540608010012014011373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points44
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
81Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
113Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.43.6
34.237.9
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
red by 7.1
42.31.3
43.742.4
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Second
36.03.6
30.834.5
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
red by 9.3
5126
#22
26.71.3
28.427.2
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
Third
1763
#21
11.03.6
15.218.8
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
blue by 1.2
5141
#26
12.21.3
12.311.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed