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Red79
199719.9
235733.3
766217.3
Blue170
452256.8
175661.8
392837.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52157010020079170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+69
Endgame+93
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +59
9Coral scored#19
34Coral points69
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
52Total teleop111
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
2Foul points0
79Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#14
33.32.2
26.328.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
blue by 28.5
61.83.9
54.858.7
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
Second
1997
#18
19.92.2
21.423.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
blue by 36.9
56.83.9
46.450.2
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
Third
7662
#33
17.32.2
9.111.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 19.8
3928
#25
37.13.9
34.037.8
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned