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Red50
172317.6
90316.5
476632.7
Blue104
181026.0
271831.2
882518.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6382204010012014050104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+54
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +54
6Coral scored#16
21Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
35Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#24
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
50Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#12
32.71.7
30.228.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
red by 1.5
2718
#10
31.22.1
27.329.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
Second
1723
#30
17.61.7
15.513.8
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 8.4
1810
#29
26.02.1
22.424.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
Third
9031
#36
6.51.7
14.112.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
blue by 12.4
8825
#23
18.92.1
23.425.5
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed