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Red30
180612.4
418714.1
193926.6
Blue52
641914.8
318423.6
931610.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70530204060801001203052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
3Coral scored#5
10Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop29
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points8
30Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#24
26.63.5
26.422.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 3.0
3184
#17
23.60.7
24.223.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
Second
4187
#34
14.13.5
20.216.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 0.8
6419
#27
14.80.7
10.710.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
Third
1806
#20
12.43.5
14.911.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
red by 1.7
9316
#32
10.60.7
15.214.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed