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Red107
392837.1
476632.7
514112.2
Blue60
199719.9
421329.5
172317.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886320408010012014010760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
73Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
24Foul points0
107Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#25
37.10.6
37.838.5
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
red by 7.5
4213
#13
29.50.0
22.722.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Second
4766
#12
32.70.6
28.629.2
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
red by 12.8
1997
#18
19.90.0
23.723.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Third
5141
#26
12.20.6
11.011.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 5.4
1723
#30
17.60.0
13.813.8
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed