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Red56
318423.6
596821.5
176311.0
Blue101
175661.8
641914.8
235733.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111205010015056101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+33
Endgame+47
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
41Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
2Foul points0
56Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#17
23.60.8
23.522.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
blue by 38.2
61.80.4
58.759.1
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
Second
5968
#16
21.50.8
18.717.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
blue by 11.8
2357
#14
33.30.4
28.629.0
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Third
1763
#21
11.00.8
18.818.1
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
blue by 3.8
6419
#27
14.80.4
10.110.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned