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Red87
171041.8
271831.2
180612.4
Blue74
328428.3
931610.6
464643.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848640601001208774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
63Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
87Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.2
35.036.3
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
blue by 1.8
43.60.5
40.640.1
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Second
2718
#10
31.21.2
29.430.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
red by 3.0
3284
#19
28.30.5
23.623.1
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
Third
1806
#20
12.41.2
11.412.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
red by 1.7
9316
#32
10.60.5
14.514.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned