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Red44
580931.2
882518.9
418714.1
Blue60
178520.8
55766.3
173636.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8178506070901001104460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +7
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
34Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
44Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#11
31.24.2
31.527.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
blue by 4.7
36.02.3
34.532.2
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Second
8825
#23
18.94.2
25.521.3
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 1.9
1785
#15
20.82.3
24.322.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Third
4187
#34
14.14.2
16.712.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 7.8
5576
#35
6.32.3
13.010.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed