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Red89
235733.3
452256.8
318423.6
Blue73
596821.5
392837.1
421329.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148440601001401608973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
59Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
8Foul points8
89Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.82.4
50.548.1
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 19.7
3928
#25
37.11.6
38.536.9
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Second
2357
#14
33.32.4
29.026.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
red by 3.7
4213
#13
29.51.6
22.621.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Third
3184
#17
23.62.4
22.720.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
red by 2.1
5968
#16
21.51.6
17.916.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed