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Red82
464643.6
180612.4
476632.7
Blue19
766217.3
81129.8
176311.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943802060801201408219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+55Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +49
12Coral scored#3
43Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
61Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
82Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.2
40.138.8
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
red by 26.3
7662
#33
17.33.4
13.510.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Second
4766
#12
32.71.2
29.228.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
red by 21.7
1763
#21
11.03.4
18.114.7
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
Third
1806
#20
12.41.2
12.611.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
red by 2.6
8112
#31
9.83.4
11.98.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed