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Red99
181026.0
171041.8
198742.3
Blue44
641914.8
193926.6
271831.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1196002040801001401609944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
27Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
58Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
99Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.5
44.644.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
red by 11.1
2718
#10
31.22.1
30.728.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
Second
41.80.5
36.335.7
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
red by 15.2
1939
#24
26.62.1
21.419.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Third
1810
#29
26.00.5
22.922.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
red by 11.1
6419
#27
14.82.1
10.58.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed