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Red104
90316.5
580143.3
173636.0
Blue53
299649.4
514112.2
55766.3
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906420408010012014010453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
71Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points6
104Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.32.8
36.138.8
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
blue by 6.2
49.41.7
40.138.4
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
36.02.8
32.235.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
red by 23.8
5141
#26
12.21.7
11.69.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
Third
9031
#36
6.52.8
10.913.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
red by 0.3
5576
#35
6.31.7
10.79.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed