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Red94
580931.2
16745.5
512626.7
Blue44
931610.6
882518.9
199719.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045601509444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+58Teleop
+56Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
12Coral scored#5
43Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
69Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points6
94Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#5
45.50.2
38.238.0
Auto14.0
Teleop29.8
End1.6
red by 25.6
1997
#18
19.92.7
23.721.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Second
5809
#11
31.20.2
27.327.1
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
red by 12.4
8825
#23
18.92.7
21.318.6
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
5126
#22
26.70.2
27.427.2
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
red by 16.0
9316
#32
10.62.7
14.011.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed