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Red105
172317.6
328428.3
175661.8
Blue53
178520.8
418714.1
957011.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11545020608010014016010553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+48Teleop
+44Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
83Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
8Foul points0
105Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.81.6
59.157.6
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 41.0
1785
#15
20.80.7
22.021.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Second
3284
#19
28.31.6
23.121.5
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
red by 14.2
4187
#34
14.10.7
12.411.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Third
1723
#30
17.61.6
13.812.2
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 5.7
9570
#28
11.90.7
12.712.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed