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Red83
641914.8
464643.6
181026.0
Blue106
176311.0
421329.5
452256.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719240608010012014083106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
20Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +27
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
55Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
4Foul points0
83Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.0
38.839.9
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
blue by 13.2
56.82.5
48.150.6
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
Second
1810
#29
26.01.0
22.423.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
blue by 3.6
4213
#13
29.52.5
21.123.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Third
6419
#27
14.81.0
8.49.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
red by 3.8
1763
#21
11.02.5
14.717.1
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed