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Red65
580931.2
90316.5
271831.2
Blue107
173636.0
596821.5
171041.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74972040608012014065107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+32
Endgame+28
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points14
65Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#11
31.20.5
27.126.7
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
blue by 10.6
41.80.7
35.736.4
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
Second
2718
#10
31.20.5
28.628.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
blue by 4.8
36.00.7
35.035.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Third
9031
#36
6.50.5
13.613.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
blue by 14.9
5968
#16
21.50.7
16.417.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed