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Red69
512626.7
957011.9
882518.9
Blue56
328428.3
199719.9
418714.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632040801006956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
59Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
69Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#22
26.70.6
27.226.6
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 1.6
3284
#19
28.31.7
21.519.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
Second
8825
#23
18.90.6
18.618.0
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 1.0
1997
#18
19.91.7
21.019.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Third
9570
#28
11.90.6
12.011.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 2.2
4187
#34
14.11.7
11.810.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed