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Red97
173636.0
328428.3
271831.2
Blue39
476632.7
957011.9
766217.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96772040601201401609739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
15Coral scored#6
54Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
68Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
20Foul points0
97Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.9
30.629.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
red by 3.2
4766
#12
32.73.3
36.333.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Second
2718
#10
31.20.9
26.025.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
red by 13.9
7662
#33
17.33.3
14.711.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
3284
#19
28.30.9
26.025.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
red by 16.4
9570
#28
11.93.3
17.714.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed