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Red86
580143.3
512626.7
172317.6
Blue55
180612.4
178520.8
235733.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93924060801001201408655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
47Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
10Foul points0
86Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.1
33.232.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
red by 10.0
2357
#14
33.33.6
30.927.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Second
5126
#22
26.71.1
26.825.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
red by 5.9
1785
#15
20.83.6
27.824.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Third
1723
#30
17.61.1
20.018.9
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 5.2
1806
#20
12.43.6
23.319.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed