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Red32
514112.2
172317.6
180612.4
Blue144
193926.6
16745.5
175661.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413805010015020032144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+90
Endgame+100
Fouls+112
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +73
6Coral scored#19
20Coral points69
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
20Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +112
0Foul points12
32Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#30
17.60.2
12.212.1
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 44.2
61.81.9
57.659.5
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
Second
1806
#20
12.40.2
11.411.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
blue by 33.1
167
#5
45.51.9
38.039.9
Auto14.0
Teleop29.8
End1.6
Third
5141
#26
12.20.2
9.99.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 14.4
1939
#24
26.61.9
19.421.2
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned