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Red127
580143.3
271831.2
452256.8
Blue14
176311.0
641914.8
90316.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1352805010015020012714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+105Teleop
+119Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +91
18Coral scored#1
65Coral points2
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
93Total teleop2
Reef
9L4#1
4L3#1
6L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#2
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
0Foul points6
127Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.1
50.651.7
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 41.9
6419
#27
14.83.3
9.46.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
Second
43.31.1
37.538.6
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
red by 32.2
1763
#21
11.03.3
17.113.8
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
Third
2718
#10
31.21.1
28.129.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
red by 24.7
9031
#36
6.53.3
13.19.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed