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Red111
512626.7
181026.0
328428.3
Blue114
418714.1
464643.6
421329.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7889506070100110120130111114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
97Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#7
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
111Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#19
28.33.0
19.822.9
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
blue by 15.3
43.63.6
39.943.5
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Second
5126
#22
26.73.0
26.629.6
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 2.9
4213
#13
29.53.6
23.527.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Third
1810
#29
26.03.0
23.426.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
red by 11.9
4187
#34
14.13.6
10.113.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed