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Red95
882518.9
173636.0
235733.3
Blue97
392837.1
580931.2
957011.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958440601001201409597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
65Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
95Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
35.635.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
blue by 1.1
3928
#25
37.11.3
38.239.5
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Second
2357
#14
33.30.3
29.930.2
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
red by 2.0
5809
#11
31.21.3
26.728.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
Third
8825
#23
18.90.3
18.018.3
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 7.0
9570
#28
11.91.3
11.412.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed