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Red69
641914.8
418714.1
173636.0
Blue67
90316.5
235733.3
512626.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6179020401001206967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#7
28Coral points24
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
48Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
69Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.5
35.936.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
red by 2.7
2357
#14
33.31.6
30.228.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Second
6419
#27
14.80.5
6.26.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
blue by 11.9
5126
#22
26.71.6
29.628.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
Third
4187
#34
14.10.5
13.714.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 7.5
9031
#36
6.51.6
9.98.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed