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Red82
931610.6
514112.2
596821.5
Blue35
766217.3
172317.6
55766.3
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060808235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
25Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
38Foul points0
82Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5968
#16
21.50.4
17.017.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 3.9
1723
#30
17.60.4
12.112.5
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Second
5141
#26
12.20.4
9.710.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 5.1
7662
#33
17.30.4
11.411.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
9316
#32
10.60.4
13.313.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
red by 4.4
5576
#35
6.30.4
7.78.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed