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Red104
318423.6
299649.4
476632.7
Blue129
198742.3
180612.4
16745.5
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9699406080120140160180104129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
74Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#6
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
104Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.41.1
40.441.5
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
red by 3.9
167
#5
45.53.6
39.943.6
Auto14.0
Teleop29.8
End1.6
Second
4766
#12
32.71.1
31.332.4
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
blue by 9.5
42.33.6
42.846.4
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Third
3184
#17
23.61.1
21.722.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
red by 11.2
1806
#20
12.43.6
11.214.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned