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Red52
512626.7
392837.1
178520.8
Blue101
271831.2
464643.6
514112.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100922040608012014016018052101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
37Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
2Foul points6
52Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#25
37.13.6
39.135.5
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
blue by 6.5
43.60.9
41.842.7
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Second
5126
#22
26.73.6
28.024.4
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 4.5
2718
#10
31.20.9
29.530.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
Third
1785
#15
20.83.6
23.720.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 8.6
5141
#26
12.20.9
13.414.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned