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Red32
957011.9
931610.6
90316.5
Blue95
476632.7
55766.3
452256.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271120501001503295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
19Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points12
32Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9570
#28
11.90.1
11.111.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 44.9
56.81.1
53.552.5
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
Second
9316
#32
10.60.1
14.013.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 22.1
4766
#12
32.71.1
32.631.5
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Third
9031
#36
6.50.1
8.28.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
red by 0.3
5576
#35
6.31.1
8.97.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed