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Red107
421329.5
173636.0
580931.2
Blue87
180612.4
181026.0
175661.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101148010012014016010787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
70Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points0
107Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.1
36.335.2
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
blue by 25.8
61.81.7
64.662.9
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
Second
5809
#11
31.21.1
31.730.6
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
red by 5.3
1810
#29
26.01.7
24.923.2
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
Third
4213
#13
29.51.1
33.532.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
red by 17.2
1806
#20
12.41.7
16.715.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned